Archive for May, 2007

Clerics call for unrest, bombings if Musharraf doesn’t clean up country

Wednesday, May 30th, 2007

PAKISTANI VICE

Clerics call for unrest, bombings if Musharraf doesn’t clean up country

The Globe and Mail, Wednesday, May 30, 2007
SONYA FATAH

ISLAMABAD — They started by taking on Islamabad’s music and video shops, shutting them down and destroying CDs and DVDs they found objectionable. They went on to abduct a suspected brothel owner to put her out of business and force a Pakistani cabinet minister to offer her resignation for conduct deemed un-Islamic.

Now, the brothers behind a rogue mosque in Pakistan’s capital are challenging the country’s President, using the 10,000 students in their religious school to provoke General Pervez Musharraf.

“Our main point,” said Maulana Abdul Rashid Ghazi, who runs the Lal Masjid, or Red Mosque, with his brother, Mullah Abdul Aziz, “is that this system should be abolished, and an Islamic system should be in place.” He said inequality, systemic corruption and moral ambiguity in Pakistan have forced him and his brother into the roles of agents of change, threatening unrest and even suicide bombings if their demands are not met.

In its boldest challenge yet, the Lal Masjid’s male students held several policemen hostage this month, demanding the release of fellow students who had been arrested on allegations of terrorism. Gen. Musharraf called in 10,000 men from the security services to surround the large grounds of the mosque and its seminaries, and Maulana Ghazi responded by threatening to launch suicide attacks if the mosque was raided. Overnight, the troops were recalled and negotiators sent instead. In the end, all the police officers were released and no one arrested for their abduction.

Gen. Musharraf hasn’t hesitated in the past to use force against those who oppose him, so his tolerant actions toward the Lal Masjid is puzzling many, and analysts say it’s a sign of the mosque’s political power. It’s a tactic that could backfire, however, and serve to embolden, rather than defeat, hard-line Islamists in Pakistan.

With its freelance Taliban-style anti-vice campaign, the mosque is proving to be a major challenge for Gen. Musharraf, already weakened by significant public protests over his dismissal of the nation’s top judge and recent riots in Karachi. With a general election in October, Gen. Musharraf is facing increasing political pressure from opposition parties seeking a return to democratic rule.

The government has been reluctant to confront the mosque, because it is said to have clout in many circles. It has enjoyed the attention of presidents past and present, with visits from dignitaries and the country’s military chiefs over the years.

The brothers who run it have long had close relations with the Taliban.

Maulana Ghazi fought alongside the mujahedeen in Afghanistan. He has met Osama bin Laden and considers him a heroic figure. Students at the madrassa have been known to chant the names of Taliban leader Mullah Mohammed Omar and Mr. bin Laden, although Maulana Ghazi is quick to condemn the World Trade Center attacks.

Hostilities between the Lal Masjid and the government began in January when the city demolished illegal mosques built on Lal Masjid’s premises. Female students reacted by occupying a children’s library nearby, refusing to leave until the government rebuilt the demolished structures.

Then, male students, many of them armed with Kalishnikovs, attacked and closed down music stores destroying piles of CDs by setting them alight outside the stores’ premises. They said they were opposed to the illegal pornography trade from the video stores.

In March, dozens of women from the mosque, armed with long bamboo staves and dressed from head to toe in black burkas, barged into the home of a suspected brothel owner and took her hostage along with her daughter, daughter-in-law and a six-month-old baby until the government stepped in to secure her release.

The Lal Masjid went on to establish a sharia court, which said that Pakistan’s federal tourism minister should resign because she hugged her French instructor after a successful maiden parachute jump. The minister tendered her resignation, which the government refused to accept, but the sharia court remains.

A little over a week ago, the mosque took its challenge to the government further and abducted the policemen.

Some critics say the Lal Masjid confrontation is engineered to prove the need for a forceful, military government.

“This is a government concentrating on elections and regime control,” said Samina Ahmed, South Asia director for the International Crisis Group, a conflict prevention think tank headquartered in Belgium. “The problem is that regime survival is the objective. If that priority means making yet another deal with the mullahs, that is what they will do.”

If anything, the negotiations have helped to embolden the hard-line clerics. A few government officials are said to be sympathetic to their cause, while some in the Prime Minister’s cabinet have been calling for severe action against the mosque’s clerics. In the absence of that, however, the brothers remain able and appear willing to challenge Gen. Musharraf again.

Popularity: 2% [?]

Pugnacious Musharraf backs talks with Taliban

Wednesday, May 23rd, 2007

Exclusive: Pakistan’s President shrugs off increased militancy in border region

The Globe and Mail, Wednesday, May 23, 2007
SONYA FATAH
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ISLAMABAD — Peace in Afghanistan will not come at the barrel of a gun, Pakistan’s besieged President, Pervez Musharraf, said in a wide-ranging interview in which he suggested talks with the Taliban could be necessary to bring stability to the war-torn country.

“We have to have a multipronged strategy. In Afghanistan it is only the military strategy which is working now,” General Musharraf said in an exclusive interview with The Globe and Mail.

“[The] political element is the negotiations between warring factions. Who are the warring factions? Warring factions are the Afghan government and the coalition forces on one side and the militant Taliban and even non-Taliban … so some form of negotiations between these two.”

“Maybe, there are groups who want to give up militancy and negotiate … so I can’t lay down whether you negotiate with the Taliban, but [if] they want to go on fighting, you don’t negotiate with them, take a military angle. You negotiate, you develop contacts with people who are not for fighting.”

Taking little responsibility for the growing sense of political instability in Pakistan and increased militancy along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border, a defiant Gen. Musharraf insisted that Pakistan was the only country that had a military, political, developmental and administrative strategy to defeating extremism.

“I would tell everyone: Come and learn from us. We are sitting here knowing exactly what is happening on the ground,” he said. “You sitting in the West don’t know anything. So, don’t teach me, come and learn from us. Come and understand the environment. And then decide on what has to be done and what doesn’t have to be done.”

The President also did not back down from controversial comments he made last year comparing the casualties suffered by Canada and the Pakistani military.

“Unfortunately the people in the West think that their lives are more important than our lives. … They think the gun fodder should be from these countries like Pakistan and developing countries,” he said.

“If their soldiers, one soldier, dies, there is a problem, but 500 of ours have died. And then, yet they are blaming us. Isn’t 500 important? … And yet Pakistan is blamed for not doing enough.”

Gen. Musharraf’s confident assertiveness during the interview is at odds with the mood in Pakistan, where growing protests after his suspension of the nation’s top judge and riots in the country’s largest city present him with the greatest challenge of his nearly eight-year run as president and army chief.

Critics have assailed Pakistan over a controversial 2006 peace deal with pro-Taliban militants aimed at ending five years of violent unrest in the semi-autonomous North Waziristan region bordering Afghanistan. The accords brokered between the government and the pro-Taliban political party, the Jamiat-e-Ulema-e-Islam, after which the government released militants, were seen by many as a setback for the government and a victory for extremist forces.

But Gen. Musharraf defended the approach of reaching out to local power brokers as a way of breaking the cycle of violence. “These are the tribal maliks [leaders] and elders. Locate them. Identify them, deal with them, wean them away. That’s the strategy that should have been adopted a long time back, but we left the field open for the Taliban, so every one is now suppressed and they are scared. Either they have joined them or they are lying low.”

Although Pakistan’s intelligence agency has been accused of helping establish the Taliban movement, Gen. Musharraf insists his country played no role, although he acknowledges it gave the extremists legitimacy by being among the only countries to establish diplomatic relations when Taliban mullahs took over the government of Afghanistan.

“I know for sure – 200 per cent – that they were not a creation of Pakistan. They were a creation of circumstances in Afghanistan,” he said. “They [Afghan warlords] were ravaging and killing and butchering each other. That gave rise to this.”

While admitting he was concerned about the growing domestic opposition to his government, Gen. Musharraf emphasized the achievements made by his administration during the interview.

Nonetheless, politically the General is still struggling to contain the fallout from his March 9 firing of the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Pakistan, recent violence in Karachi and an on-going stand-off between the government and hard-line Islamists holed up in an Islamabad mosque.

A rolling series of protests and strikes have been led primarily by legal bodies and supported by opposition parties. The Islamist coalition that allowed the General to stay in uniform, has become very vocal in its opposition to him.

Popularity: 5% [?]

Full text of interview with Pakistan President Gen. Pervez Musharraf

Wednesday, May 23rd, 2007

The Globe and Mail Update

May 23, 2007 at 2:00 AM EDT

The Globe and Mail: What is your vision for Pakistan in the next 10 years?

Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf: Of course, I want Pakistan to be a very progressive and moderate Islamic country, and that is my broad concept.

Within that, my main focus has to be on sustaining the economic growth because from that flows the social and economic development of Pakistan.

And if we want to sustain all this, we have to defeat extremism and terrorism. That is the overall strategy that I have.

The Globe: Do you believe that this can be achieved only with you at the helm?

President Musharraf: No, nobody is indispensable.

I think we have set processes. We have introduced sustainable democracy in that all the tiers of government are functioning — the senate, the national assembly and the provincial assembly, and we’ve introduced the third year of government, the local government system. When all these assemblies are functioning, parliament is functioning, there is an automatic system of throwing up leaders. Nobody is indispensable.

The Globe: You have talked a lot about “enlightened moderation” and putting emphasis on education in the country. Do you feel that that goal has been achieved, or is being achieved?

President Musharraf: This is not such a short-term strategy that it can be seen in six months or one year, and basically at the grand strategy level . . .

I propounded this theory for the world, actually . . . because of the turmoil in the world, and the turmoil in the Islamic world. Therefore, I came up with this concept of “enlightened moderation,” which is a two-pronged strategy.

One of the prongs [is] to be delivered by the Muslim world and that is by rejecting extremism and terrorism, and going on the path of social and economic development through restructuring the OIC. It is the only organization representing the entire Muslim world. So this was their part.

The other prong of this strategy was to resolve political disputes and this has to be done by the West and the United States.

And I’ve always said that both these prongs have to work in tandem. You have to resolve political disputes so that the Muslims shun or reject extremism and terrorism. If you don’t do that, I don’t think you are going to succeed.

So, that is the broad concept of enlightened moderation on a global plane.

Then, of course, I’ve also said in the Islamic world plane [what's needed is] the restructuring of the OIC. That is happening — the restructuring of the OIC is going on.

On the other side — the other prong of resolving political disputes — a lot of activity is going on but we haven’t made headway because the core issue is Palestine.

Now when you bring this enlightened moderation down to Pakistan level, now you come to the domestic level and the regional level. Yes, at the regional level, as I said, the contribution is rejecting extremism and terrorism and going on the path of social and economic development.

That has a connotation regionally so we have to fight extremism and terrorism in the region, especially on our western border. And that is what we are doing, and going on the path of socio-economic development.

So, wherever there is extremism, we need to fight that, curb that, and bring moderate forces up domestically. So this is the entire concept. It has a global context, it has a Muslim context, it has a regional context, it has a domestic context. So this cannot be achieved overnight.

Let me hone in, then on education in Pakistan. Many analysts say the problems in Pakistan are exacerbated because there are a lot of young people who are jobless, a lot of people who are going through an education system that is not very good.

So, for instance, you may come out with an engineering degree but it’s hard to find a job because you have the qualifications on paper but not know-how. At an elementary school level, at a middle school level, at a high school level, at all levels there is a problem. There aren’t teachers coming to schools.

Many of the people who marched in the streets when the protests against the cartoons happened were there because they had nothing to do.

On one level, they see all this development happening, all these products that are available, and consumerism that they cannot have. So it is easy for them to move into thuggery or extremism.

Yes, this is the malaise of every developed country. Poverty, unemployment is a main malaise of every developing country, even developed countries.

Now, lets talk of Pakistan. Yes, indeed, like the developing world, we also have this problem. We have to curb or we have to reduce unemployment and poverty. This is what we have to do.

This also cannot be done overnight, that I take a policy decision today and we impact on it and remove all that in six months. No, it cannot be done.

Now, you have to see what direction we have taken. Yes, indeed, we are very very conscious of this.

First of all, this has a direct bearing on the economic performance of the country. So unless your economy is on an upsurge and moving fast, this cannot be addressed, so we are now, we have rectified the economy. Our economy is growing as at one of the best economies in the world. At 7 percent average [growth] over the last four years and we are going to maintain that this year also. Investment is coming into Pakistan in a big way and exports are expanding. New factories. New factories mean new jobs.

So with all this effort we have reduced poverty by [almost] 10 percent over the last five, six years from 34 per cent to 25.3 or 25.4 per cent. Now this is a big achievement but it is not enough because one in four is still poor.

So we are now taking more actions. What are more actions? We call them “targeted interventions.” That is, we now have an internship scheme. Anyone who has studied 16 years, through a higher education-recognized university, will be absorbed in the government at 10,000 rupees per month for one year without tests or without any interviews.

About 30,000 children are coming in. Already 15,000 have been taken in and more applications are being pruned. Now this is exactly targeting what you are saying.

Then we have launched the Roz Gaar Scheme. The Ros Gaar Scheme — the National Bank is going to give loans of 15,000 rupees or 20,000 rupees at an interest rate of only six per cent. And, with a down payment of only five per cent.

So there are thousands of people who have applied and got rickshaws, for example. A rickshaw is about 60,000 rupees to 75,000 rupees They just have to pay about 4,000 rupees, 5,000 rupees, and get a rickshaw and earn.

Recently they showed an interview of a rickshaw driver in Larkana and he said: “For 20 years, I was a frustrated man.” Now, he says: “I am earning about 20,000 to 25,000 rupees a month. I have to return only 3,000 to 4,000 rupees and I get the remaining in my pocket.

Similarly, we are encouraging girls and women to take this loan and open PCOs, public call offices, through a mobile telephone. That is also happening. So this is targeted intervention. And mobile utility source, etc. I don’t want to get into details.

So, this is the real crux, The government first has to rise economically and then convert that economic gain and then transmit it down to the people. And we have a strategy to do that. So, this is the way of doing it — to bring poverty down and unemployment down. That is what we are doing. No quick fix.

The Globe: The business community has been supporting you for a long time now, and despite the events of the past few weeks, it continues to support you. Could you talk a little bit about the economic reforms that have been brought in under your leadership?

President Musharraf: Yes, certainly, they are supporting me because they have all gotten richer by — I don’t know how-many times.

So when Pakistan’s economy is going up, they also go up, every businessman is going up. Every trader today is making tremendous amount of money because people — per-capital income in Pakistan has more than doubled.

That means what? That means people have more money and they spend more money. When they spend more money, businessmen earn more money and there is a great demand-supply gap because they have more money — they are buying more, supply is at the same level, it’s not growing at the same level that they are getting money. So therefore there is a big demand-supply gap. So, any businessman coming into business at this moment, because there is a demand-supply gap — basic economic theory — you profit, the profit is more, unless you cover this gap.

So, businessmen are laughing all the way [to the bank]. Look at the stock exchange. In 2000, the Karachi Stock Exchange was just about 900, 960 or something. Today, it has crossed 12,500. People have made trillions, not billions.

The Globe: And this is because of opening up the economy?

President Musharraf: Yes, that’s because of our basic strategy. I mean, how did we achieve this? How did you turn this around? Because of our basic strategy that we adopted of deregulation, liberalization and privatization.

This was the basic concept and then we went on to see where is the problem.

[We asked:] Why is our economy failing? Why are we a failed state?

And we saw that this was because of our local fiscal deficit, our expenditures being far more than our earnings. Our fiscal deficit was about eight per cent. It had even gone into double figures. This is terrible. You can’t spend much more than you can earn.

And on the other side, the external balance of payments was in deficit by about $4-5 billion a year — again, earnings in dollars, foreign currency earnings, much less than expenditures. When you have this gap, where do you get this $4-5 billion. You run to IMF and World Bank.

And when your economy is not performing and your GDP is barely $62 billion, they give you interest at heavy rates because they don’t want to sink their money.

Therefore, all this had to be addressed and we addressed it. We reduced the fiscal deficit to under four per cent. Today, I think it is 4.2 percent. And we converted the external balance of payments deficit into a surplus. So this is what we did and the economy turned around.

The Globe: What are your thoughts on nuclear development in Iran?

President Musharraf: Our government policy is very, very clear. We are against proliferation. We don’t want anyone to acquire more nuclear weapons. In fact, with all this turmoil going on in the world, we should be talking of reducing nuclear arsenal. So, this is out policy.

Having said that, we at the same time believe that nuclear energy is the right of every country. This is our policy.

The Globe: So Iran should be able to go ahead with commercial nuclear energy?


President Musharraf: Yes, absolutely. That is the right of every country.

The Globe: Do you favour negotiating with the Taliban to fight extremism?

President Musharraf: We have to have a multi-pronged strategy.

In Afghanistan, it is only the military strategy which is working now. We feel that it has to be multi-pronged, and the multi-pronged strategy must have a political element, also a reconstruction element. And that is what we believe. And that is what we are doing in our part of the tribal agencies. That is what we believe.

Now, when we talk of the political element, what is the political element. The political element is the negotiations between warring factions. Who are the warring factions? The warring factions are the Afghan government and the coalition forces on one side, and the militant Taliban and even non-Taliban — Gulbuddin Hekmatyar is not a Taliban. So some form of negotiations between these two. On the other side with those who are not for militancy.

Maybe, there are groups who want to give up militancy and negotiate a peaceful . . . so I can’t lay down whether you negotiate with the Taliban. But if they want to go on fighting, you don’t negotiate with them, you take a military angle. But you do negotiate, you develop contacts ,with people who are not for fighting. This should have been done a long time back.

Because here there is a tribal system, and in a tribal system — if anyone has read the history of this place — never have the Taliban reigned supreme. In a tribal culture, the cleric was confined to the mosque. It was the tribal malik who was the elder, who was listened to, who had the power in his respective tribe.

Now where are those tribal maliks? They are there. They were suppressed after the Taliban emerged in Afghanistan. This was the first time in centuries that the authority of the tribal maliks was eroded when the Taliban came up between 1995 and 2001.

And then the 9/11 disaster [happened]. They [the Taliban] were defeated. They were bombed and they ran helter-skelter. Now the same Taliban are regrouping and doing whatever they are doing.

But where are tribal maliks? Have they joined them? Are they against them, are they neutral?

The Globe: You tell me.

President Musharraf: Yes, indeed they are there. They are there but they are dormant. They have been suppressed. They are scared, maybe. We can bring them up if we were to adopt a strategy of seeing . . . you see the strategy that we have adopted. What is our strategy in the tribal agencies? Wean away the population.

Every individual is not a Taliban. Yes, indeed, every Taliban is a Pashtun. But every Pashtun is not a Taliban. So, where are the non-Taliban Pashtun? Who is contacting them? Who is encouraging them? Who is bringing them up? We must do that.

And this is the area where we can locate people who are not for fighting and militancy, who want peace and they held sway over their tribes in the past. These are the tribal maliks and elders. Locate them. Identify them, deal with them, wean them away. That’s the strategy that should have been adopted a long time back. But we left the field open for the Taliban so every one is now suppressed and they are scared. Either they have joined them or they are lying low. They are abetting, maybe they are encouraging, or abetting or they are doing nothing. They are neutral.

The Globe: Are you taking some responsibility for not having addressed this issue earlier?

President Musharraf: We have adopted this strategy for the last two years now . . . Now, I’m not taking responsibility. Every one has a responsibility for whatever failures and successes.

You see, now, when did the Taliban come up? After 9/11 the Taliban were defeated. All al-Qaeda who were in Afghanistan who were original mujahideen brought from all over the world, who coalesced into al-Maida after 1989, after the withdrawal of Soviets. What happened to them? After 9/11 they were in Afghanistan, all of them. They ran into Pakistan.

So we had to combat al-Qaeda — the Taliban having been defeated. So we started combating al-Qaeda. For two years, three years, I think we were combating al-Qaeda. They were in all our cities — in Islamabad, in Rawalpindi, in Karachi, in Lahore, in Faisalabad, in Gujarat.

We got them. We combated them.

The phenomenon of the Taliban [resurgence] emerged maybe two or three years back. I don’t exactly remember. 2003, maybe. Now, we started combating the Taliban again.

That is when we started thinking that the military approach alone is the way of dealing with it.

But we realized “no.” We should go on a four-track strategy.

So, we adopted the military approach but then we went on to wean away — let’s wean away the population from the Taliban. So, therefore, we started holding jirgas for exactly those people who are not for fighting and reached an agreement with them, and this was the second aspect, the political aspect.

The third aspect was, let’s go for reconstruction. Not reconstruction in our case, nothing was destroyed. But there was infrastructure lacking. So developmental activity I would say. Go for development. Pump in money to develop on the socio-economic side: poverty alleviation, job creation, schools . . . schools with hostels, even for girls.

The Globe: And you’ve been doing all this?

President Musharraf: Yes, exactly. All this, and administrative. Bring the administrative machinery up. The institution of the political agent who used to be like the deputy commissioner there — bring him because he was suppressed after the military came in. 80,000 military troops came in. They took over everything. We thought, no. Military should be in the supporting role. It should be there. But the administrative machinery should be revitalized. So this is the overall strategy we had — a four-pronged strategy. We adopted this two years back. So, who is not doing anything.?And nothing of this sort is being done in Afghanistan.

The Globe: Do you feel the expectations of you and of your government by the international community are unreasonable, given the geographical and political landscape of the border region between Pakistan and Afghanistan?

President Musharraf: Yes, they are most unreasonable . . . Many times, the media is doing the blaming — blaming Pakistan more than the other countries. Whichever countries are involved — if you go and talk to their government functionaries. In Britain, go and talk to the commander of the British forces who has just gone back. In fact, very recently, just a few days back — the secretary of defence. I was reading in the mail his statements, which are nailing exactly this aspect that everyone is talking about.

Pakistan is doing a lot. Pakistan is the only country, which has this strategy, which I have told you. You go and ask anyone else: What are you going to do? And other than the military option, they are not going to talk about anything else.

So, this is an impression, which is being created by the media, that we are not doing enough. And then they talk of what needs to be done here without knowing anything.

We should not be told what needs to be done. I would tell everyone: Come and learn from us. We are here sitting here knowing exactly what is happening on ground. You sitting in the West don’t know anything. So, don’t teach me. Come and learn from us. Come and understand the environment. And then decide on what has to be done and what doesn’t have to be done. We are doing more than any other country in the world.

The Globe: How do you then explain the rise of an extremist environment in Pakistan both in the Frontier region — I think Peshawar has never been as uncomfortable as it is right now — and in Islamabad even. The rise of extremist forces that was not the case before in Pakistan’s history.

President Musharraf: Well, again, we have to see — has this come again, all of a sudden, in three months or four months. No, it has not.

The undercurrents were always there, they have just become more militant. This mosque that you are talking about and this madrassa where the women are, they have been there for years, since I don’t know how many years. They’ve been there but they’ve become more militant.

The Globe: They’ve never been comfortable making themselves quite as public as they are now, though.

President Musharraf: Yes, yes, indeed. This is a fallout of what has been happening for 30 years now, since 1979 onwards. This area was a battleground, in our west, in Afghanistan, where mujahideen and even students from the Taliban were trained and armed and sent in [to fight the Soviets]. 20,000 to 30,000 mujahideen came from all over the world. Armed, trained and conducted there. Everyone — the West and Pakistan — did this for 10 years.

It had a fallout here. And then after 1989 until 2001 . . . all this continued but everyone left. Pakistan was all alone and warlords were butchering each other, ravaging the country in the west. Simultaneously, the Kashmir freedom struggle started. All this again fallout on Pakistan. Then suddenly the Taliban emerged in 1995, and taht again impacted on Pakistan’s society.

The Globe: Are you saying the Taliban just emerged and Pakistan had no role in their emergence?

President Musharraf: Absolutely not. 200 per cent sure.

If anyone thinks that Pakistan created the Taliban — although I know there was an interior minister at that time in the government who very naively said they are my children and all that — but I know for sure — 200 per cent — that they were not a creation of Pakistan.

They were a creation of the circumstances in Afghanistan. The Afghans were ravaging and killing and butchering each other. That gave rise to the Taliban.

And it was an incident. There was a boy who was sodomized and he was killed. And it was this boy’s body which was taken to Mullah Omar by the people, and that sparked the start of Taliban.

He then called on the people . . . and then people started joining. And he started moving out. There were no battles. People joined them. That is how he could take 90 per cent of Afghanistan in months, not even a year. They didn’t fight. There were no pitched battles. There were only a few pitched battles. Very few. The people joined them.

The Globe: And when there were pitched battles, it was people like Maulana Samiul Haq who closed down Akora Khattak and sent his boys over.

President Musharraf: Yes, there was support from this side. Yes, indeed, there was support from this side.

There was Sufi Mohammad of PSNM in Malakand. He went in. So there was certainly support form here. And that was because, as I said, for 12 years, while all this was happening, we were on our own. There were four million refugees in Pakistan. Pakistan was left alone to do all this.

Then 9/11 came and its impact on Pakistan. Everyone running into Pakistan. So, we are a victim of the circumstances in Afghanistan.

And this society, our entire societal fabric got torn because of all that and that is what we are facing right now.

The Globe: What is your opinion on the exchange of money and captured Taliban for kidnapped aid workers and journalists in Afghanistan?

President Musharraf: Yes, I would like to comment. I think — on one side, one a matter of principle, one should never [do anything] . . . that encourages kidnapping. But on the other side, I would like to save these innocent people who have been kidnapped. I would like to do anything to save them.

The Globe: Let me ask you this: If a Pakistani journalist was kidnapped, what would you do?

President Musharraf: (Chuckles) I don’t know. I would like to save him. I would like to get him back by whatever means.

The Globe: Or her.

President Musharraf: (Laughs). Yes. Thank you for correcting me.

The Globe: NATO and the international forces have been criticized for the number of civilian casualties that are a result of military action. Do you feel that this is just collateral damage or a serious human rights concern?

President Musharraf: Collateral damage. I don’t think they are targeting civilians. Well, I shouldn’t say civilians. Taliban are civilians. I don’t think they are targeting those that are not fighting.

In many cases, militant Taliban take refuge in places where there is a population or there are other people, so there is collateral damage.

In many cases, it is even exaggerated. I know some targets we attacked in Pakistan and destroyed. Everyone is shouting that these were children. I know in Bajaur agency where there were 80 of them killed. People shouting around — their supporters — that these were all children. That is all nonsense. We know exactly — they were all militants, doing military training. So, exaggeration also, collateral damage also, a combination of all.

The Globe: When you were in the United States on your book tour, you gave an interview to CBC, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, which roused a bit of a controversy. You said something to the effect that Canadians were weeping over their losses when we have lost so many of our men. This roused a huge response in Canada because for Canadians every soldier who dies is a soldier lost in conflict. Do you think this is because there is more value for human life in Canada then there is in Pakistan?

President Musharraf: There is value for human life here also. But unfortunately the people in the West think that their lives are more important than our lives. That is the problem. They think the gun fodder should be from these countries like Pakistan and developing countries. If their soldiers, if even one soldier dies, there is a problem. But 500 of ours have died. And then, yet they are blaming us. Isn’t 500 important? Who blames us, and yet Pakistan is blamed for not doing enough. So, we should get 1,000 killed?

So, I am very sensitive to this. See, when you put on a uniform, what is the uniform for? For sitting at home? When I joined the army, what did I join the army for? For fighting. What else?

Either I have to fight at home to rectify some law-and-order situation or because the oath that I have taken when I graduated and when I put on my uniform that I would protect, safeguard the territorial integrity of Pakistan from external and internal threat. And I will go anywhere in the world, irrespective of the dangers to myself. This is the oath I have taken.

I don’t know what oath Canadians take when they put on their uniform. I mean, why are they putting on their uniform? They should not join the army at all. What for do they join the army? So that is what I am saying.

While I am very conscious of the fact — when we command troops and we go to war or we go into action, the first thing we must ensure is the safety and security of the people, of my under command, but not at the cost of failing in a mission. There is a mission at hand, you have to achieve that mission. If you compromise on the mission because you are going to suffer some casualties then why are you there?

The Globe: That doesn’t mean that you cannot want to limit the number of losses?

President Musharraf: Surely, you must limit them. A commander is useless if he cannot do that. But every time it cannot be ensured. And casualties will be suffered. All I said was — I didn’t mean that you should just go stupidly and suffer casualties. But casualties have to be borne.

You’re fighting here. This is a vicious enemy you are fighting and you have come here to resolve the Afghanistan conflict. So there is a military element to it. So in this fighting you may suffer casualties. So this is what I mean.

The Globe: What is your view of regional powers in the current Afghanistan conflict? There has been some talk that Iran has been supporting the Taliban.

President Musharraf: I wouldn’t like to comment on that. We don’t have concrete evidence that Iran is supporting the Taliban. May I say from a sectarian point of view that may not be the case. Taliban are Sunni, Iran is Shia. There is not much activity between the two.

The Globe: How do you feel about India’s growing popularity in Afghanistan versus Pakistan’s growing unpopularity?

President Musharraf: Well, this is a cause of concern, a cause of concern because we feel that it is being used against us. That is a problem.

The Globe: In what way, being used against you?

President Musharraf: Well, I think fanning trouble in our backyards.

The Globe: Do you think the people of Pakistan care about democracy?

President Musharraf: Yes, of course, they do.

The Globe: You don’t feel that it is a Western imposition?

President Musharraf: No, but we have to tailor it to our needs. Unfortunately the West thinks we can import whatever is there in Pakistan. Everything must suit the environment. Democracy must be there but tailored according to the Pakistani environment.

The Globe: You have repeatedly said that martial law is not an option. Yet, Karachi has not seen the kind of violence that erupted a few days ago, since the turbulent era of the late 1980s and early 1990s. If such a situation occurred again, is martial law an option?

President Musharraf: No. No, it’s not.

The Globe: Will elections happen as scheduled?

President Musharraf: Yes, absolutely.

The Globe: In October?

President Musharraf: 100 per cent.

The Globe: Will you be willing to take off your military uniform?

President Musharraf: Yes. The people of Pakistan need to decide that. And I’ll take a decision according to the constitution of Pakistan.

The Globe: Are you afraid to take off your uniform?

President Musharraf: No. Not at all. I don’t have any personal … I don’t believe in perpetuating myself. I have no greed for anything. I am not greedy for money. I am not greedy for any stature. I am a very down-to-earth man. I love being with the people. I love being down to earth. I am not a person who has been born with a silver spoon. I have no problems.

The Globe: The MMA (Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal) had partnered with you. But recently have become very vocal in their opposition to you. Do you feel that is a threat to your government?

President Musharraf: The MMA was never a partner, except they joined to allow me to be in a uniform with a two-thirds majority. They were never a partner.

The Globe: Are you concerned about the increased vocalization of their opposition to you?

President Musharraf: Yes, there is a concern today, whatever is happening in the country today.

The Globe: Altaf Hussain is seen as the architect of violence in the late 80s and early 90s and your partnering with him has been received by many Pakistanis as your jettisoning or supporting the violence. Could you explain why you would partner with Altaf Hussain when he is seen by so many as a criminal?

President Musharraf: You must understand that there is an environment in Karachi and in this Karachi environment you must know that MQM (Mohajir Quami Movement) has a following and Altaf Hussain has a following whether you like it or not. On his call, hundreds of thousands of people come out. Do you have any doubt that he has a following there? Now, having said that, what is the course of action open? I am also a Karachiite and I know Karachi very, very well and I know the environment of Karachi. In 1993, 94, 95, you couldn’t move on Drigg road at nine o’clock at night in a car. That was the extent of terrorism and gang warfare that was going on in Karachi in the 90s. Even at that time, I used to say: What is the solution? This is a following of the people. What is the solution? One is, you keep fighting. The other is, that you moderate.

The Globe: In the way, that showed itself on the streets the other day?

President Musharraf: No, not at all. Not at all. Not at all. Now, let’s come to the reality now. First of all, I know that people are linking me to them. First of all, I am an Urdu-speaking man. But that mustn’t mean that I’m going to join anybody just because, on ethnic lines. We cannot convert this into ethnic. I am from Pakistan. I am a Pakistani. I believe in Pakistan much more than my being Urdu speaking or anything. However, I see realities on ground. Now, if you see the last five years, six years of Karachi, I think the development that has taken place in Karachi is phenomenal from all points from view — infrastructure development, even things like parks, even things like NAPA, National Academy for Performing Arts. So there is a transformation of Karachi for the better. There is a Nazim of Karachi today who is MQM. He is very dynamic. Look at the park he has made. Have you visited the park in Clifton? Now the issue is they have been performing and they are no more, they are not involved in any militancy. Now, let’s come to this incident. What happened now. The issue is that the judicial crisis has been politicized. Who has politicized it? Have they politicized it? It has been publicized by the opposition. And all these people who have converted this judicial case into a political issue. Now when you politicize this. It is an election year also. All political parties want to show their turf. If you think that you can have a free run and undermine other political parties, I don’t think these political parties are going to allow that.

The Globe: This doesn’t answer my question about Altaf Hussain.

President Musharraf: Just a second. I’m going to come to that. What happened in Islamabad was a show of force by PML (Pakistan Muslim League). What happened in Karachi was a show of force by MQM. Now, why did anyone knowing that this is happening — a jalsa — which they know they will be able to get hundreds of thousands of people out, why should you go there to fan trouble. And when you have gone there, when the government is offering you a helicopter to take you to the high court, why do you not accept that helicopter? The interior home secretary is sitting with you and asking you to go by helicopter. He’s asking you, ok, tell me your route and we will guide you and take you with perfection on to the high court.

The Globe: There is archival footage of police refusing to interfere.

President Musharraf: Yeah. First of all, your question was my involvement. Now, let me say all this happened . Even their women were sitting out on the streets. I don’t know who initiated the firing. Who did the firing, is the question. We need to find out and punish the culprits and take action. That is where I am against. Now, who the hell did the firing? Who the hell did the killing? But the political response was a natural response. If they had not done it they would have these people were going to go with all their supporters all over Karachi. They were not going to the High Court. They were going to Malir and Quaid-e-Azam Mazaar, roaming around all over Karachi and showing that Karachi is supportive of the opposition, the political parties. So therefore a reaction by MQM. Therefore a reaction in Islamabad by PML to show that the people are with us, and not with you. So this is a political game going on, politicized by them.

The Globe: Why was there a breakdown in law and order?

President Musharraf: Now the police action. It’s not so easy. If you think that police can come when there is firing going on. Let me assure you that I personally told them, that if you are doing this then make sure that wherever you are, never should you come in contact with opposition groups and that is where you need to have barricades in front and back, don’t come into contact, don’t get into militancy, don’t come into contact with opposition parties.

The Globe: So MQM did not listen to your advice.

President Musharraf: Yes, indeed. How did the firing take place, I don’t know. We need to find that out. Who initiated the firing but to cast aspersions this is exactly what the opposition wants to do. Opposition knows that if they want to destabilize the government and if they want to destabilize the ruling political party, what is the centre of gravity. I am the centre of gravity, they think. If they can destabilize me they will achieve their goals. And therefore everyone is targeting me. For anything that is happening, they are targeting me. Now this has happened, so they are targeting me, that this man is Urdu-speaking, and MQM is Urdu speaking, and therefore there is a collusion and thighs man can go. I don’t believe in these killings and I think normalcy is returning to Karachi. It was most unfortunate that the killings took place and my heart bleeds for whatever happened in Karachi because for seven years there was so much peace and so much development, and so much development in the pipeline. There is an overhead extra space in Karachi at the moment and there are so many projects that I have to go and launch. This water purification project, this desalinization project, which I have to go and launch and there is the water going into the sea. We have plans to develop a sewerage treatment plant so we can clean up this water. There are so many development projects coming up there. I want Karachi to be a beautiful Karachi and this is the contribution I must say of the present Nazim: six underpasses and flyovers, which I inaugurated in eight — 10 months. This is the development of Karachi. It is unfortunate that peace has been disturbed. And I would like to blame the opposition for politicizing this whole dispute and I would like to blame these people who went in spite of the fact that Karachi is the MQM’s stronghold. You cannot politicize in the stronghold of another party. You either are expecting them to stay low and in 2007 elections they lose ground because people see, where is the strength. So, you are asking for trouble. And then throwing the whole blame on others.

The Globe: Will you partner with Benazir Bhutto?

President Musharraf: I would like to partner with all moderate forces because the future is after the elections, or during the elections also. We must defeat the extremists. We must partner with moderate forces to defeat the extremists.

The Globe: Is Benazir a potential moderate force?

President Musharraf: Yes, she is a moderate force.

Popularity: 5% [?]

An Algoma edge for an Indian dynasty

Thursday, May 10th, 2007

EXCLUSIVE: INDIA’S POWER CLAN TALKS ABOUT ALGOMA IN ITS EMPIRE

Essar Global hopes to use Canada as platform for much greater expansion in North America, and elsewhere

The Globe and Mail, Thursday, May 10, 2007
SONYA FATAH

NEW DELHI — Prashant Ruia, scion of one of India’s richest families, has some advice for Canadians worried about corporate hollowing out – relax.

His family’s conglomerate, Essar Global Ltd., has joined a growing number of foreign companies snapping up Canadian enterprises, but he says that’s because the country is a good place to do business. Investing in Canada is about good opportunities, growing markets and healthy risk indicators, he says.

“We think Canada is a safe market and we see no substantial political or economic risk in investing there,” said Mr. Ruia, a director of Essar Steel and the son of one of the conglomerate’s founders, Shashi Ruia.

In mid-April, Algoma Steel Inc. of Sault Ste. Marie, Ont., agreed to a purchase offer of $1.85-billion from Essar, which would become the largest Indian deal ever done in Canada.

Essar Global operates in 14 countries, with group assets of $12-billion (U.S.) to $15-billion and 20,000 employees. With the Algoma purchase, though, the family hopes to use Canada as a platform for much greater expansion in North America, and elsewhere.

“We are positive about the investment environment in Canada and we think there is a strong domestic market, and it gives us access to North American markets as well,” Mr. Ruia said in a rare interview for the very private family.

As they set out to achieve this goal, though, the Ruias – a family worth an estimated $8-billion – are also aware of Canadian fears following the series of buyouts by foreign firms.

“About 15 to 20 years ago when the Japanese started buying up major properties in L.A. and New York there was a lot of fear in the United States,” Mr. Ruia noted.

“But at the end of the day, nothing happened because the market was too large and there were lots of investment opportunities.”

Moreover, a more globalized world with increased free trade would automatically result in such buyouts, he said, and pointed out Thomson Corp., the Canadian-controlled digital media giant, has offered to acquire Britain’s Reuters.

“Essar Group has built up positions in the Indian economy and in the economy of the region by spotting areas where we expect to see solid, continuing long-term growth, and investing astutely for the long term,” Mr. Ruia said.

“It’s worked well … and we can see no reason to stop there. With this base we can build global businesses in our chosen business areas – areas that are central to the economy of any developed or developing nation.”

Their breakout business is steel, based on a belief that demand is rising and a wave of consolidation is sweeping the global industry.

“On the global front, we are looking to consolidating the areas of business that we are already in,” Shashi Ruia, the company’s chairman, said in a separate interview.

“We add synergy and value to the whole enterprise. For that we have been formatting ourselves to becoming international players and so far, Algoma – if it goes through – will be our first major acquisition.”

In mid-January 2006, the family began acquisition talks with Algoma that lasted two months. They followed up the Algoma bid with a buyout of Minnesota Steel, giving them a solid beachhead in North America and an entry to the auto industry. The company already has a plant in Indonesia that has a 400,000-tonne cold-rolling facility and a 150,000-tonne galvanizing facility. Two greenfield projects in Vietnam (a hot strip mill with an annual capacity of two million tonnes) and Trinidad and Tobago (an integrated steel plant with an annual capacity of 2.5 million tonnes) are under way. Outside of steel, Essar has made moves in the oil business. It has exploration and production blocks for oil and gas in Myanmar and Madagascar, and commissioned its first oil refinery in December.

“We are interested in core commodities like steel and oil and some service business because we believe there are great opportunities in services, and some annuity business like shipping and power,” Shashi Ruia said. “The mix of the three is what we have planned as a strategy for growth.”

Their plans – and confidence – got a big boost in February when Li Ka-shing, the Chinese tycoon who was a partner in Hutchison Essar, India’s third-largest mobile phone company, announced that he was selling his 67-per-cent stake. A resulting bid from Vodafone raised the value of the Ruias’ 33-per-cent stake from $2-billion to $6.3-billion.

In 2006, Shashi and Ravi Ruia were in slot No. 245 on Forbes’ list of the world’s richest people, with a collective fortune of $2.8-billion. But that was last year. Today, the brothers’ net worth has galloped to $8-billion, and they’ve vaulted several notches up the Forbes ladder, to No. 86 this year.

“Where we see opportunity to apply our skills and enjoy the benefits of vertical integration, we will do so,” Prashant Ruia said. “Essar businesses help out sister businesses, cutting out the middleman and of course his profit margin. In this way, Essar’s power generation business supplies Essar’s steel mill, itself supplied by Essar Energy, with fuel offloaded by Essar’s own port operator.”

Things have not always been so good for Team Ruia. At the turn of the new century, Essar Steel, the current darling of Essar Global, was in financial distress. It earned the not-so-flattering honour of being the first Indian company that failed to repay floating-rate notes of $250-million. But that is very much a part of history these days at Essar. The debt has been repaid and there has been much introspection at Essar House in Mumbai.

“Don’t be anxious to jump into a new venture when the market is bullish and interest rates are high,” Shashi Ruia said when he talked of resolutions made as a result of that period.

“I hope one learns from one’s mistakes,” he laughed.

***

A business heritage

The Ruias are heirs to a business with roots going back to the 19th century. When Nand Kishore Ruia died in 1967, his sons, Shashi and Ravi, took over. Essar, which stands for the brothers’ initials, was born in 1969, with a focus on construction and shipping, and went on to expand into power, steel, oil and gas, and telecom. When the liberalization of the Indian economy began in the 1990s, the conglomerate was well positioned to ride the dynamic growth that followed.***

A family affair

As the Essar Group expands globally, it brings with it some of the classic appendages of India’s biggest conglomerates – the family. Shashi Ruia’s two sons, Prashant and Anshuman, have been working at Essar for many years and sit on several of the companies’ boards. Ravi Ruia’s son Rewant is a recent addition to the Essar team. His daughter, Smiti, who once worked as an analyst at Lehman Brothers and obtained a masters in publishing from the London College of Printing, is the force behind a smaller, more unusual Essar venture called Paprika Media, launched in March, 2004. The media company launched TimeOut Mumbai six months later and recently introduced TimeOut Delhi. Ms. Ruia has plans to launch the fortnightly lifestyle and events magazine in other Indian cities as India’s consumer market continues to boom.

Sonya Fatah

Popularity: 3% [?]

Disabled fall through the cracks of war

Thursday, May 10th, 2007

The Globe and Mail, Thursday, May 10, 2007
SONYA FATAH

KABUL, AFGHANISTAN — When the U.S.-led bombing of Afghanistan began in the winter of 2001, Shawzia, now 25, was in the living room with her father and sister. She remembers hearing a plane rumble overhead before the bombs began to fall.

Shawzia’s father and one sister died instantly, but she survived. Her face was completely disfigured and over the months that followed, she began to lose her sight. Today, Shawzia is almost blind. The right side of her face has ballooned and slowly begun to encroach on the left side of her face. She is in constant pain.

“I would be happy today if she had also died,” says Modira, Shawzia’s mother, as she sits beside her disabled daughter. Shawzia, too, says she often wishes herself dead. When she walks down the street, people call her names and laugh at her. Her mother, a widow in a patriarchal culture, feels like one of many Afghan women left to pick up the pieces in a place with few services for the disabled.

War-related injuries account for about 17 per cent of Afghanistan’s 747,000 to 867,000 disabled people, according to a report released by Handicapped International. In 2005, the NGO reported that at least 2.7 per cent of the population had “severe difficulties in everyday functioning,” a number that has likely risen since then.

The Ministry of Martyrs and Disabled (recently renamed the Ministry of Social Labour, Martyrs and Disabled), makes a distinction between people disabled in war — by land mines or cluster bombs or in fighting — and those with congenital disabilities. Only war victims receive a meagre pension from the ministry.

“Part of the problem is even the government’s mentality is that war victims are special because they have sacrificed their lives for a cause, and others are disabled because God does not like them,” says Afghan Disabled Union’s Omara Khan.

The stigma also means many disabled Afghans live in virtual isolation, cut off from society and unable to integrate.

“Civil society doesn’t really exist here. Most of the services provided here are pretty basic or non-existent. Everything is new or has recently been set up,” says Arnaud Quemin, field program director for Handicapped International.

A number of international aid groups provide assistance in Kabul, although in rural Afghanistan, there is nothing. The International Committee of the Red Cross has been running a rehabilitation centre for the past 15 years, providing prosthetics and other services. Handicapped International helps run a Community Centre for the Disabled in Kabul’s Karta Sei district.

Saifuddin Nezami, the director at the centre, said he sees hundreds of people who feel hopeless. “A man came to me yesterday,” he said. “He told me, his wife had kicked him out. She told him, ‘You are not able to bring me any money or any food. What is the difference between you and me? You are a nuisance. Please leave the house.’ The man was desperate. He said, ‘Please help me. Or I will take some fuel and burn myself.’ ”

The stigma in a country where one in ever five families has a disabled person is part of the problem. “If there is a disabled child in the house, the opportunities for schooling, for training and for anything else go to the non-disabled child,” says Tina Singleton, Handicapped International’s project manager at the community centre.

“In the Ministry of Works and Public Affairs there is a rule that says that anyone who is disabled more than 60 per cent does not have the right to work in government.” Mr. Nezami looks at his leg, severed above the knee. “I don’t have the right to work in government.”

More than 70 per cent of disabled children cannot go to school, Mr. Nezami says. “Disability doesn’t mean inability,” says Mr. Nezami, whose centre has trained a good number of disabled people and found jobs for them. “But, in our country, they are not allowed to take part in society. So, a kind of grudge is created in their heart.”

Popularity: 19% [?]

Why the disabled do Taliban’s deadly work

Monday, May 7th, 2007

THE AFGHAN MISSION: RECRUITING INSURGENTS

With so few rehabilitation services available, suicide attacks can offer easy escape
The Globe and Mail, Monday, May 7, 2007

SONYA FATAH

KABUL — The suicide bombing at a Kabul Internet café drew attention for a number of reasons: It was one of the first in the Afghan capital after the fall of the Taliban; it struck a spot popular with foreigners; and a UN worker was among those who died along with the attacker, Qari Samiullah.

But a little-known fact about that 2005 blast offers a clue into the workings of the insurgents who recruit suicide bombers, and what, apart from religious propaganda, has motivated about 200 men to blow themselves up: In addition to being a deeply religious man, Mr. Samiullah was disabled.

His disability didn’t come as a surprise. As the insurgency in Afghanistan gathers urgency, the Taliban and other forces are recruiting marginalized and vulnerable groups to carry out suicide attacks while men from their own ranks keep up the ground offensive.

The pool of the disenchanted and hopeless is large in Afghanistan — people left on the fringes by their economic, physical or mental circumstances — and there are few services to rehabilitate them after three decades of war.

“Almost 90 per cent of [suicide bombers] are people with some form of disability,” forensic expert Yusuf Yadgari said.

Every bomber’s body in Kabul-based attacks passes through Dr. Yadgari’s morgue. He has so far detected such disabilities as muscular dystrophy, amputated toes, blindness, skin diseases and signs of mental illness in the bodies of suicide bombers.

Although no statistics are available, anecdotal evidence increasingly backs up Dr. Yadgari’s observations. Security experts argue that the Taliban seek out the disaffected, the poor and the marginalized, a group that certainly would include a majority of the disabled. And non-governmental organizations say reports of disabled people being trained as suicide bombers, although unproven, are common.

“One reason why people entertain the idea is there is complete loss of hope in being able to live a normal life,” said Firoz Ali Alizada, who lost his legs to a land mine and now uses artificial legs and crutches.

“In a culture like ours, disability and the possibility of being out on the street are equated with great shame. A man who is married and has children is suddenly incapable of supporting and feeding his family. … He might find it easier to die.”

Disabled people are a significant portion of Afghanistan’s population, but they live on the margins of its society. One NGO, Handicapped International, identifies nine dimensions of disability, including the ability to care for oneself, depression, epilepsy or seizures, and restrictions on physical movement. About 2.7 per cent of the population — 747,000 to 867,000 people — have very severe disabilities, according to the group.

When a wider segment of disability is included, the percentage skyrockets to 58.9. Even that, observers say, excludes mental disability and disabilities among women.

“It is clear that the Taliban are using financial incentives in many cases to encourage suicide bombers,” said Sam Zarifi, Asia Division research director of Human Rights Watch.

“It’s not just ideological fervour. It is clear that in a place like Afghanistan where there is a very weak economy, the handicapped, whether physically disabled or mentally challenged, are going to be more vulnerable to that kind of financial incentive.”

Money for suicide bombings is offered to families of the bombers, so they can live a better life, a compensation of sorts for the loss of a male breadwinner. Because the men often have not been able to earn very much, the money, which ranges in amount, is seen as a solid incentive.

Saifuddin Nezami, director of the Community Centre for the Disabled, who is himself disabled, said he can see how recruiting disabled people would be effective:

“In Kabul we have some services for the disabled … but in the provinces there is nothing — no services, no vocational training. They are isolated from society and life. This situation causes people to be very disappointed in life, to be depressive and to bear a deep grudge in their hearts toward society and other people.”

Suicide attacks in Afghanistan have risen dramatically in recent years, according to Human Rights Watch, which released a report on the subject last month. The tactic is a relatively new in the country, which saw only two suicide bombings in 2003. But the numbers grew from six such attacks in 2004, to 21 in 2005, to 136 in 2006. In the first 10 weeks of this year, there were 28.

In March, a suicide bomber attacked the car of a high-ranking Afghan intelligence official, killing four men and injuring six. When the bomber’s body was taken to the morgue at Kabul Medical Centre, its middle was missing, but half his legs, his arms and his head were more or less intact.

The bomber’s identity may still be unknown but his condition tell his story. The man was blind in one eye, his clothes torn and shabby, and weeks of grime were etched onto his skin.

Many cases of mental illness, mainly depression, can be judged from the condition of the bomber at the time of the attack, Dr. Yagadari said. “Their clothes and face are dirty. You can see that they are not interested in life. This is one of the first signs of depression, something that is rampant and unaddressed in Afghanistan.”

It is difficult to track people with mental disabilities because the stigma of those illnesses is worse, if possible, than that attached to physical ailments.

“If you walk down the street … you will notice that one of every three or four people is talking to himself,” Mr. Nezami said.

Sayed Azimi of the World Health Organization in Afghanistan, estimates that 50 per cent of the Afghan population suffers from some form of mental disability. The Afghan Health Ministry puts this number much higher, at 85 per cent.

Security analysts say the Taliban and other groups do not recruit suicide bombers from among their elite. “It’s true that the Taliban don’t use their best and brightest as suicide bombers,” said Philip Halton, managing director of Safer Access, which provides expertise for humanitarian aid groups.

“They do look for disaffected members of society, not only those who are disabled but those who are exceedingly poor, and they target those people.”

In early April, a program broadcast on al-Jazeera and Tolo television (Afghanistan’s private Dari-language channel) documented the stories of three young men from Waziristan in Pakistan’s tribal belt, all of whom showed clear signs of physical or emotional incapacity, who had been recruited as suicide bombers. All were apprehended by the Afghanistan intelligence service.

Ayatollah, 16, who had a long scar dug deep just above forehead, often sounded nonsensical. He said the Taliban told him there was a financial reward: ” ‘First you have to go to Kabul,’ they told me. ‘After you commit suicide, come back and we will give you the money.’ ”

A second man, Amanullah, who constantly contradicted himself, said he hoped for paradise but also expected to walk away alive after setting off the bomb. Ultimately, he was afraid to risk death, so he ripped apart the wires in his bomb pack and pulled out the battery. Now he sits behind bars under the supervision of Kabul’s intelligence services.

The case of Mr. Samiullah, the Internet café bomber, is slightly unusual in that he was middle-class.

Hamid Barakzai, a former high-school classmate, recalls bumping into his old friend several years after the fall of the Taliban in 2001. Mr. Samiullah was still sporting the long beard advocated by the fundamentalist group.

“I asked him, ‘Why haven’t you cut off your beard? The Taliban are gone,’ ” Mr. Barakzai recalled. “He told me, ‘I am al-Qaeda. I will die al-Qaeda. Next time, I might take some infidel with me to the other world.’ I thought he was joking.”

Shortly after that conversation, in May of 2005, Mr. Samiullah blew himself up.

“A lot of suicide bombers have disabilities that prevent them from living a normal life,” Mr. Barakzai said. “When the Taliban see people like this they … tell them, ‘You cannot do anything with your life. You are useless. You cannot provide for your family. Why don’t you go to heaven and we will look after your family?’ ”

Recruitment

How new recruits find themselves among the insurgency’s suicide-bomber ranks.

Propaganda: Mobile phones are used to pass along videos of martyred young men. A young Afghan who lives in Pakistan received a video on his mobile phone that documented a suicide bombing near the Pakistani border, in Afghanistan. A man who had lost an arm and a leg is shown exercising and then driving an automatic car laden with explosives in Paktia province. Coalition forces can be seen in the distance as the bomber approaches them and detonates the bomb.

Compensation: In the early days of Afghan suicide attacks, the Taliban offered $250 (U.S.), sources say.

But that number has risen to as high as $10,000. A young man from Kandahar whose attack was foiled by police said he was offered $15,000.

Desperation: It’s not clear how many of the suicide bombers are Afghan but security analysts say that foreign fighters were among the bombers of 2003 and 2004. The trend is to use people who are not fit to fight.

“Most of the recruits are not Taliban,” said Haroun Mir, a former aide to the late, fabled Tajik warrior Ahmad Shah Massoud. “As long as you can fight, why blow yourself up?”

Popularity: 4% [?]

Relatives react

Saturday, May 5th, 2007

The Globe and Mail, Saturday, May 5, 2007

SONYA FATAH

Indian relatives of the Air-India bombing victims expressed concern yesterday that Canada may have had advance warning of the 1985 attack.

“It’s very depressing to say the least,” said Chandrasekhar Sankurathri, who lost his wife, Manjari, 33, and children, Srikiran, 6, and Sharadha, 3, on the flight.

“It’s very disappointing because it’s a country like Canada and that the people who are supposed to protect the lives of Canadian citizens can be so callous about it.”

Ontario Lieutenant-Governor James Bartleman testified at a public inquiry in Ottawa on Thursday that he saw a document just days before the attack that outlined a specific threat against an Air-India flight from Canada on June 22 or 23. The plane was bombed June 23, 1985, killing all 329 people on board.

“There has been absolutely no justice,” said Ramamurthi Kolachuri, who lost his sister-in-law and her children in the crash.

“Stephen Harper promised to bring all the people responsible for killing 329 innocent people, to book. He promised this during his campaign, but these politicians forget their promises.”

The Indian government had no comment on the revelation.

“The government’s reaction has been rather muted,” said Siddharth Varadarajan, a journalist with The Hindu newspaper. “There is a feeling that this is now an internal Canadian matter.”

Popularity: 2% [?]

Lal Masjid: State within a State

Tuesday, May 1st, 2007

With fundamentalists calling the shots, Musharraf’s government has made the tactical error of breathing life into Pakistan’s Islamists

Hard News, May 2007

Sonya Fatah

ISLAMABAD: “We have no intention to wage a war against the government leading to a bloodbath,” Maulana Abdul Aziz, the leading cleric at Islamabad’s controversial Lal Masjid, or Red Mosque, told a local reporter during an interview at the mosque’s premises on the morning of Monday, April 23, 2007. “However, if it launches a crackdown on Jamia Hafsa or Lal Masjid, of course, the movement would automatically turn into a militant movement.”

Such statements from Lal Masjid’s main man are not empty threats. The Red Mosque is not in the spotlight for the first time. It has enjoyed the attention of presidents past and present, of visiting dignitaries and the country’s military chiefs for several decades, and its strength, like that of the Taliban, has grown to be largely independent.

As decisions made by President General Musharraf weaken his control in Pakistan, and as political parties, legal bodies and human rights groups combine to protest in force against the president, the Red Mosque’s leading clerics are piggy-backing on the momentum, promising all kinds of ultimatums, including suicide bombs, if the government tries to interfere in their affairs. The ultimatums by Islamist bodies mean it’s a significant crisis for the Pakistani president, but his solution lacks vision. With a growing internal crisis on his hands, and the development of Talibanisation on Pakistan’s western borders and main western cities, Musharraf is walking a political tight-rope.

Observers feel Musharraf’s tried-and-tested and failed process of military solution followed by appeasement has wrecked havoc in the tribal areas. It will have the same result in the Lal Masjid controversy. “This is a government concentrating on elections and regime control,” says Samina Ahmed, project director, South Asia, for the International Crisis Group, a conflict prevention think-tank that is headquartered in Belgium. “The problem is that regime survival is the objective. If that priority means making yet another deal with the mullahs, that is what they will do.”

And so, not surprisingly, on April 11, 2007, the Pakistan Muslim League’s Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain was sent to negotiate with the Lal Masjid’s brothers-in-arms. The brothers, Mullah Abdul Aziz and Abdul Rashid Ghazi have been threatening to start their own sharia court, calling the Pakistani legal system ‘unIslamic’. Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz’s cabinet has been divided over how to deal with the law-breaking mullahs of the Red Mosque but the government’s chief negotiator, Chaudhry Hussain, has already penned some masterstrokes.

A long list of legal grievances documents the vigilante actions taken by students of the mosque’s affiliated madrassas, the Jamia Hafsa, for women, and the Jamia Fareedia. The women of Jamia Hafsa, in particular, have been active vigilantes. For instance, armed with long, bamboo staves and dressed from head to toe in black burqas, women students barged into the home of suspected brothel owner, Shamim Akhtar. The moral brigade bound and gagged the woman, her daughter, daughter-in-law and a six-month baby, and kept them under their watchful gaze. The women, called ’sinful Shias’‚ were disgraced, but for three days the Pakistani government appeared paralysed.

The government said it had not intervened because it did not want to harm the women vigilantes. But the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan, an independent NGO, who’s fiery human rights lawyer, Asma Jehangir, has been roughed up in public, mocked these assertions. Many other human rights activists and female political leaders have been roughed up in the past, the organisation stated. “The lack of action in this case only exposes the deep-rooted links between the military and religious jehadi groups,” the commission’s statement read.

The folks at Lal Masjid do have some legitimate grouses against the State. Since Pakistan came on as an American ally on the war on terror, it’s foremost intelligence agency, the ISI, has collaborated with the CIA in setting up and operating secret prisons, many of them in safe houses in the nation’s capital. Illegal detentions have raised the ire of many human rights groups and also led Pakistan’s Supreme Court chief justice to demand an open judicial process for those detained. The Lal Masjid’s clerics have been vocal in their opposition to Pakistan’s support of the war on terror. That, too, has been labelled, un-Islamic.

An editorial in the Daily Times pointed out that there might be ulterior motives for raising the profile of the controversy. “Many observers think that the ‘Lal Masjid Affair’ has been allowed to become front-page news to take the limelight away from the judicial crisis. There are others who think that the Lal Masjid revolt has been allowed to grow so that the world outside realises that Pakistan is an extremist-dominated state and that democratic reforms here might jeopardise its very existence.”

If the government is playing a game, as the editorial suggests, it is a dangerous one, which like many other similar strategies, could backfire. Talibanisation is already encroaching in Pakistan’s western cities of Quetta and Peshawar. Taliban supporters have begun burning music stores in Peshawar. In the agencies, taxi drivers playing music in their cabs are being fined Rs 500 if they are caught with music blaring from the speakers. And leaflets are being dropped into women’s college grounds warning students that if they do not cover themselves from head to toe, in the appropriate form of dress for a Muslim woman, their safety and security cannot be guaranteed.

“I am afraid to send my children to school,” says the wife of a secular politician in Peshawar. “The school has received bomb threats and there are armed guards at every corner. We don’t know what will happen but everyday I feel fear.”

Part of the problem is the government’s refusal to listen to the voice of the people, observers say. “Who are the stakeholders? They are not consulted,” says Ms Ibrahim. “The appeasement deals are with tribal leaders and mullahs, not with the people of the region.”

Some fear that by engaging the clerics and accepting their demands, Musharraf’s government has made the tactical error of breathing life and importance into Pakistan’s Islamists. Both Foreign Minister Khurshid Kasuri and Education Minister Lieutenant General (Retd) Javed Ashraf Qazi have been opposed to the government’s handling of the Lal Masjid issue. They have called for strong government action against the mosque’s illegal actions.

But their voices are not being heeded. Instead, Lal Masjid’s head cleric has already declared that the mosque and its affiliate madrassas are stockpiled with weapons that will be used should the government try and use force against them.

Last week, citizen groups across Pakistan rallied against religious extremism reacting strongly to the threats issued from Lal Masjid. The protests were loud and well attended in virtually every major Pakistani city. How much impact they will have remains to be seen.

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